MGMT 638
  • Data Guide
Gen AI and Quantitative Investments
Rice Business
MGMT 638• Fall 2026, Term 1
led by Kerry Back
Syllabus →
Kerry Back
Kerry Back J. Howard Creekmore Professor of Finance
and Professor of Economics
kerry.e.back@rice.edu
Week 1 August 25–27
TUE AUG 25
Getting Started
Course mechanics. Intro to quant investing. Intro to gen AI. Our AI Lab (Claude Code/GLM 4.7 + Python in a container).
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THU AUG 27
Median of Peer Multiples
Introduction to the Nasdaq Data Link data. Finding industry/size peers and valuing by multiples. Analyzing model/market differences.
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Week 2 September 1–3
TUE SEP 1
Trading on Predictions
Turning a valuation signal into a portfolio. Ranking stocks, going long and short, and backtesting what the strategy would have earned.
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THU SEP 3
Linear Regression for Multiples
Predicting a multiple from a company's fundamentals. Regression, fitted values, and a backtest of the signal.
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Week 3 September 8–10
TUE SEP 8
Introduction to Machine Learning
Tree-based models. Training and test samples, overfitting, and cross-validation.
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THU SEP 10
Predicting Multiples with Machine Learning
Swapping the regression for a machine learning model, and backtesting the trading signal.
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Week 4 September 15–17
TUE SEP 15
Predicting Returns with Machine Learning
Predicting returns directly rather than by way of valuation. Building features, fitting the model, and backtesting the result.
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THU SEP 17
Short Sales and Insider Trading
Short interest, short volume, and Form 4 filings. Turning data into signals and backtesting.
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Week 5 September 22–24
TUE SEP 22
Text Analysis and Sentiment
Working with a corpus of financial news. Measuring sentiment in text.
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THU SEP 24
Trading on Sentiment
Building a signal out of the news corpus and backtesting.
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Week 6 September 29 – October 1
TUE SEP 29
Risk Models
Factor models of how stocks move together. Market, industry and style factors. Covariance shrinkage.
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THU OCT 1
Portfolio Risk
Putting the risk model to work: measuring a portfolio's factor exposures and risks, and building one that takes only the bets you meant to take.
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mgmt638.kerryback.com kerry.e.back@rice.edu